Guides

Guide to position sizing your Crypto trade.

Predefine your trade risk

 

 

So you want to buy some Crypto but want to predefine your loss.   That is how much of your Base currency you are willing to lose before you close out the position.

 

I couldn’t easily work out how to define how much I was willing to risk on each trade. Ive used Stop-loss orders successfully in fiat currency trading for years but this isn’t easy to do in the crypto world yet. Most exchanges don’t allow for a profit and loss statement so its hard to know exactly how much you are making or losing in each trade.

 

I suspect that most “traders” in the crypto space just buy without a plan and then hold until either the losses hurt too much or they are in profit. This can easily see trading capital locked up in a losing trade indefinitely while the trader waits for things to turn around. Holding losses and cutting short your wins is a recipe for disaster!

 

I would like to outline the steps I take before opening a trade denominated in BTC. So pairs like BTC/ETH, BTC/LTC ect.

 

Step 1.

  • Determine my capital set aside for short term trading purposes. This doesnt include long term buy and hold.

Step 2.

  • Determine how much of my trading capital I am comfortable losing on 1 trade.

 

  • This is a percentage of the total capital. ie 2% of $10000USD would be $200. ( I use USD as my base currency, you might use BTC or ETH its up to you)

 

  • How much you risk per trade is another whole topic, for this example ill go with 2%.

Step 3.

In this example $200USD = 0.04639962 Bitcoin (BTC)

Step 4.

  •  Identify in my trade setup where I want to enter and where my stop-loss should go.

 

  • In this example Ive put the stop loss below the support level at 4500 satoshis. This is just an example and probably not a good entry point.

Step 5.

 So the question now is how many ripple(XRP) do I buy in order for my trade risk to be $200 or 0.04639962 Bitcoin (BTC).

  • We need to know how many Satoshis our stoploss is. In this case it is 300 satoshis. (our entry 0.00004800 minus our stoploss 0.00004500)

 

Step 6.

 Now for some simple maths!

  • If our stoploss is 300 sats and we want to risk 0.04639962 BTC ($200) then we need to divide 0.04639962 by 300 which gives us 0.0001546654 BTC per sat.

Step 7.

 Next we divide the 0.0001546654 BTC by 1 sat or 0.00000001 to tell us how many XRP we need to buy.

  • So 0.0001546654/0.00000001= 15466.54 XRP
  • So if we buy 15466.54 XRP at 0.00004800 and sell it at 0.00004500 we will lose 0.04639962 BTC or $200.

Step 8.

We can test this by the following calculations-

  • multiply 15466.54 XRP by 0.00004800(our entry price) which will cost 0.74239392 BTC.

 

  • Then multiply 15466.54 XRP x .00004500( our exit price) = 0.6959943 BTC

 

  • So our entry cost of 0.74239392 BTC minus our exit of 0.6959943 BTC will be 0.04639962 BTC or $200

 

Now these calculations don’t include Commissions which to be honest are still quite high and NEED to be taken into consideration.(In this case roughly $160 at bittrex)

 

Next article I hope to write about calculating commission and spread.

Please comment on any mistakes or improvements as Ive posted this to hopefully help others and maybe learn something myself. If anyone would like to develop a position size calculator let me know as I havent been able to find one.

 

 

Signing off!

Crypto investors guide.

Guide to investing and trading Cryptocurrencies